India's chances of making to Semi Finals even if they win against England and South Africa hinges on England's chances against West Indies. The loss against West Indies will come back to bite India if WI wins against England. If South Africa ends up with the best NRR even after losing against India they will be placed first obviously. From what I understand if WI and India are tied for points then it is West Indies that will go through because they have beaten India already.
At this point in time India has a NRR of -0.71, the least of all the teams in the group. England is on -0.67, Wst Indies is on -0.15 and South Africa on +0.90
I don't reckon South African can be walloped by a big margin that will pull their NRR massively. Similarly WI is expected to win against England (although WI have had wood over them this summer) by a decent margin. This will mean India will not only have to aim for a victory here but will also need to win with some decent margin otherwise despite winning the next two games they may still not make it to the next round.
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